Independent · Free · Source-linked
What will it actually take to draw this tag?
Western states publish the real answer for free — buried in unsortable PDFs. The paid tools put a $99–199 subscription in front of it. This site does the one thing neither does: turns the state's own documents into a sortable, point-level table, and links the source on every number.
We publish what happened. We never simulate what will happen.
The paid tools run simulations against purchased applicant databases, and they visibly disagree with each other — two vendors have returned 12% and 33.53% for the same unit. Their accuracy can't be checked until results post, and hunters notice when it's wrong.
We take the opposite position. Every number on this site is an observed historical outcome — what the draw actually did, at each point level, in a year that has already happened. Each table links the source document, its publication date, and the date we pulled it. Where the data can't answer your question, we say so instead of estimating.
No predictions. No "recommended units." No accounts, logins, or credit cards.If a number here is wrong, the source PDF is one click away and you can prove it.
What's here, and what's coming
The site is being published state by state. A state goes live only once its numbers have been checked against the agency's own documents — not before. That ordering is deliberate: publishing one wrong number would cost the only thing this site has.
Point-level tables
Quota, permits issued, first-choice applicants and success odds at every point level — not pooled averages that answer a different question.
Point creep over time
How the points required to draw a unit have moved year over year. It's what hunters actually argue about, and no free tool shows it.
Harvest statistics
Alaska publishes fifty years of queryable harvest outcomes by game management unit. Nobody has made it browsable. We're doing that.